Bursa Malaysia is anticipated to report robust first-quarter 2026 results, driven by active trading. However, global challenges, particularly Middle Eastern tensions, are expected to temper performance for the remainder of the year. CIMB Securities projects a core net profit of RM81.9 million for Q1 2026, with a moderation expected in subsequent quarters due to increased risk aversion.
PETALING JAYA: Bursa Malaysia dijangka mencatat keputusan suku pertama 2026 yang kukuh, didorong oleh aktiviti dagangan yang rancak, namun cabaran global dijangka menjejaskan prestasi bagi baki tahun ini.
CIMB Securities berkata, walaupun keputusan suku pertama 2026 berpotensi memberangsangkan, ketegangan di Asia Barat telah mengubah landskap pasaran, dengan tahap penghindaran risiko yang lebih tinggi berkemungkinan mengehadkan kenaikan pasaran.
Firma penyelidikan itu mengunjurkan Bursa Malaysia mencatat keuntungan bersih teras sebanyak RM81.9 juta bagi suku pertama 2026 apabila keputusan diumumkan pada 30 April. “Namun begitu, mereka menjangkakan prestasi suku-suku seterusnya akan lebih sederhana,” katanya dalam nota penyelidikan.
CIMB Securities berkata, purata nilai dagangan harian bagi suku pertama 2026 meningkat kepada antara RM3.3 bilion hingga RM3.5 bilion, mencerminkan penyertaan pasaran dan turun naik yang lebih tinggi. “Prestasi ini disokong oleh persekitaran dagangan “risk-on” pada awal suku, sebelum sentimen menjadi lebih berhati-hati pada bulan Mac akibat ketegangan geopolitik di Asia Barat.
“Walaupun pendapatan dijangka meningkat dalam jangka pendek, sentimen pasaran bagi suku-suku akan datang dijangka kekal lemah apabila pelabur semakin berhati-hati terhadap risiko,” katanya.
CIMB telah menurunkan penarafan saham ini kepada “pegang” daripada “beli” serta mengurangkan harga sasaran kepada RM9.00 daripada RM9.70, berikutan prospek pendapatan jangka sederhana yang lebih lemah dan keadaan dagangan yang lebih mendatar.
Sementara itu, Hong Leong Investment Bank menganggarkan pendapatan teras suku pertama 2026 Bursa sekitar RM77.8 juta, selepas mengambil kira pelarasan kemerosotan aset tidak ketara sebanyak RM1.7 juta. “Jika anggaran ini tepat, ia mewakili sekitar 27 peratus daripada unjuran pendapatan setahun penuh, sedikit melebihi jangkaan,” katanya.
“Walaupun Bursa dijangka masih mencatat pertumbuhan pendapatan pada 2026, penganalisis menjangka momentum akan kembali normal pada tahun-tahun berikutnya, disebabkan gangguan rantaian bekalan global, kadar faedah yang tinggi dan tekanan inflasi yang terus mempengaruhi sentimen pelabur,” katanya. – UTUSAN
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