No candidate is perfect, but dumping an incumbent is generally a terrible idea.
, he had spent months dragging his feet on launching a campaign. When he almost lost the New Hampshire Democratic primary to Sen. Eugene McCarthy, his name wasn’t even on the ballot . None of that is happening with Biden. He has given every imaginable signal that he is running and that his heart is in it. Barring some unforeseen health event, he’s not dropping out. It simply isn’t going to happen.Nor will Biden jettison Harris from the presidential ticket.
And if that happened, who would take the job? Some pundits have floated the idea of Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer. I’d wager that Whitmer would rather crawl over broken glass than step over Harris’ political carcass to the No. 2 spot on the 2024 ticket. If Whitmer did, she would so alienate Black voters that the closest she’d likely ever get to the White House would be waiting in line for a tour.
Any other Democratic candidate, whether it’s California Gov. Gavin Newsom or Whitmer, would be untested on the national stage and, perhaps even more important, unvetted. Why anyone thinks it would be a good idea to cast aside an incumbent president with a record of accomplishments and all the advantages of incumbency, for a candidate who most Americans don’t know, is difficult to fathom at any time.
It makes particularly little sense this far into the campaign cycle. If Biden dropped out of the race tomorrow, Harris, as vice president, would be weaker than the incumbent president. But she would almost certainly have access to Biden’s donors, his campaign infrastructure and a likely endorsement.
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