Labor needs to pick up nine seats, but if neither major party can get to 47 seats the crossbench will determine the next premier
Where are we starting from?
Nine crossbenchers were elected in 2019: three Greens, three members of the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers party and three other independents. The former Liberal ministerIf neither major party can get to 47 seats, it is the crossbench who will determine the next premier.The nine most vulnerable Coalition seats are held on margins of 6.3% or less against Labor.
The most marginal seats are East Hills, Upper Hunter and Penrith, all held by less than a 1% margin. Goulburn is slightly less marginal, with a Liberal margin of 3.1%.
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