A big Indian state election win has given a boost to Rahul Gandhi’s Congress party in its quest to unseat Prime Minister Narendra Modi in a national vote next year. But it still faces a long road ahead.
The victory in Karnataka over the weekend was one of the most significant for Congress against Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party in major state elections since he took power nearly a decade ago. Now the question is whether Gandhi can build on that momentum in the five remaining state assembly elections before the 2024 vote.
Congress made the case a big part of its campaign, telling voters that the BJP and Modi were attacking freedom of speech in India. Gandhi, a scion of the Nehru-Gandhi dynasty who has often been seen as a reluctant politician, also showed a greater desire to win: Ahead of the vote he completed a 2,170-mile trek from southern India to the north, presenting himself as a man of the people.
“The BJP is going to have to rethink its emphasis on Hindutva as a key poll plank for 2024,” as the attempt to polarize Karnataka on religious line back fired, said Arati Jerath, a New Delhi-based author and political analyst, referring to the ideology of Hindu nationalism. “It works in certain parts of India, like in the north, but clearly it’s not working in the south, it hasn’t worked in the east, it has diminishing returns in the west.
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