Here are our latest best guesses for every bowl matchup, including the playoff, plus a look at surprise teams and the game we most want to see.
It was an unconvincing weekend for the top four teams in the AP poll, with Georgia, Michigan, Florida State and Texas all winning without gaining any style points. The only change I made was to flip Florida State with idle USC. Texas might have had a chance to supplant Florida State, but the Longhorns needing the fourth quarter at home to finish off Wyoming didn't exactly inspire confidence and Alabama's struggle against South Florida cast a new light on Texas' win last week.
While the top teams didn't fare great, Ohio State and Washington had strong performances and could easily be swapped with the playoff picks in their conferences . Several others are in a strong position -- Penn State, Oregon, Oregon State, Utah, Ole Miss, Oklahoma, among them -- and we'll be monitoring those teams closely in the coming weeks.
J.J. McCarthy and Michigan did enough to beat Bowling Green -- and hold on to a CFP spot in our projections. Even though USC didn't play this past weekend, I moved the Trojans back into the top four, bumping Texas. With so many good teams in the Pac-12 this season, it's difficult to imagine that the last Pac-12 champion will be left out of the CFP.
None of my other CFP picks -- Georgia, Florida State and Michigan -- were overly impressive Saturday. The Bulldogs trailed South Carolina 14-3 at halftime before pulling away with a 24-14 victory. It was the third straight slow start for UGA. Likewise, Michigan led Bowling Green only 14-6 after two quarters, but pitched a 17-0 shutout in the second half for a 31-6 win. Boston College took Florida State to the wire in the Seminoles' 31-29 road victory.
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