UBC research predicts which B.C. students will drop out of high school

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UBC research predicts which B.C. students will drop out of high school
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Study identified 2,000 children at age 10 that had almost 70 per cent probability of not completing high school.

Researchers from the University of B.C.’s Vancouver School of Economics have found that data collected routinely by the B.C. government can be used to predict which students are likely to drop out of high school.

“These data sources illustrate that social issues including poverty, crime, homelessness and drug and alcohol abuse primarily manifest among those who do not complete high school,” their study said. “We showed how disadvantaged backgrounds can lead to disadvantages and vulnerabilities later in life, with a real emphasis on one pinch point: dropping out of high school,” said the authors in an article posted July 25 on UBC’s website.

The Ministry of Public Safety and Solicitor General provided researchers with a file on adults interacting with BC Corrections. The Ministry of Health shared a file that contained records of all in-patient hospital stays, diagnoses, procedures and dates. But there are challenges, they said, citing an informal discussion with a B.C. cabinet member who pointed to a deficiency in public trust as one challenge, noting the long time between investment and payoff, and low levels of public trust in statements made by government officials.

Independent science officer Green and Warburton make several recommendations for effective interventions to address social issues and guide children onto better trajectories, including the appointment of an independent science officer.

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