Winds have torn Philippe apart, causing it to be steered in a different direction. AccuWeather forecasters say the system now poses more risks to land.
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The wind shear will keep Philippe's strength in check, likely allowing it to remain below hurricane force. It's even possible for Philippe to drop below tropical storm intensity at some point over the next several days. For context, a hurricane has sustained winds of 74 mph or greater while a tropical storm has sustained winds of 39-73 mph.
Enough of the system is likely to survive as a tropical storm, depression or tropical rainstorm to bring drenching showers and gusty thunderstorms and rough seas to the Leeward Islands at the end of the week. Puerto Rico may escape much of the effect of Philippe, provided the storm does not resume a faster path to the west.in terms of impacts in the Caribbean due to the scope of heavy rain and disruptions to commerce and travel expected in the region.
There is a wide range of possibilities as to the track of Rina and Philippe due to the two systems being so close together. The most likely path of Rina is one that curves to the north and takes the center of the storm well to the northeast of the Lesser Antilles. If the two remain separate and survive, there is also a chance that Rina may behave similarly and experience some of the same steering influences that caused Philippe's track to pivot farther to the west. Trade winds in the lower part of the atmosphere would guide the system to the west in this case.
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