While most people are focused on the highly-anticipated 2024 election, the future of five states' party leadership will be decided much sooner in the 2023 gubernatorial and legislative elections.
Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Jersey, and Virginia are all holding elections in 2023. The results could either break a Democratic trifecta in one state or create new Republican trifectas in others.Mississippi, Louisiana, and Kentucky will hold elections for governor, and voters in Virginia and New Jersey will decide the fate of their state representatives and senators.
Gov. Phil Murphy has touted the legislature's accomplishments in areas like education and the economy. In 2022, Murphy declared he was"boldly progressive," but kicked off 2023 praising lawmakers for bipartisan work — a change in tune believed to have resulted from the Democrats' reelection cycle coming up in November.
Since 1947, there have only been three Republicans elected as the governor of the Bluegrass State, placing the odds against Cameron. However, Kentucky has a Republican majority in both chambers of the legislature, so this will be a test to see whether a Democratic incumbent can survive in a state trending deep red.
Louisiana's governor race could be a pivotal moment for Republicans to gain back the trifecta they lost in 2015. The state passed a significant amount of bipartisan bills that went into effect on Aug. 1, such as increased punishments for fentanyl-related crimes, changes to the state's age verification laws, and requirements for every public school to display the phrase"In God We Trust."
It is one of two states that have a split legislature: Republicans have a two-seat majority in the House of Delegates, and Democrats have a two-seat majority in the Senate. Between 1992 and 2023, Republicans and Democrats each had four trifectas. Both parties have experienced divided governments and divided trifectas .
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