Three big surprises of 2022: Weakened Russia, weakened China, weakened American economy via MichaelBarone.
The prime example: Ukraine. When Vladimir Putin’s Russian troops invaded on Feb. 24, it looked like an independent Ukraine was toast. Military experts on cable channels said Russia had overwhelming superiority. It would take Kyiv and occupy the whole country.The Biden administration evidently shared this view, evacuating the U.S. Embassy and offering a plane to rescue the president Volodymyr Zelensky, who at this point uttered the immortal words, “I need ammunition, not a ride.
That is another way of saying that nationalism — regarded by many in the press and academia as a form of fascism — can be a positive force for human freedom. This is true even in a place that has been a separate nation, except for a few months in post-World War I chaos, for only a single generation. And maybe it shouldn’t have been unexpected that even China’s stringent lockdowns couldn’t prevent the spread of a virus transmissible by asymptomatic persons and which, with appropriate vaccines, is seldom fatal except among elderly persons with serious risk factors. Unfortunately, the supposedly efficient Chinese used their own inferior vaccine rather than one developed under the Trump administration’s Operation Warp Speed.
The good news about these failed expectations is that Russia’s unexpected failure to conquer Ukraine may have made China’s leaders more cautious about attacking Taiwan.
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