The danger zones have low vaccination rates and a high volume of international travel, researchers warn.
Conditions in Los Angeles, Miami and Queens are ripe for measles outbreaks, according to a new report mapping out the counties most at risk of seeing the once-eradicated disease going viral on their turf.
But while some of the most at-risk areas near international airports, such as Travis County in Texas, Honolulu County, Salt Lake County and multiple counties in Florida, haven’t reported measles cases yet, the researchers warn that it is only a matter of time. What’s more, the team’s measles risk analysis correctly predicted the major outbreaks that have been reported in the Pacific Northwest, Los Angeles and New York this year, while 30 of the 45 counties that have reported measles cases to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention are also on the list, or they are adjacent to a county included on the list.
“We have long known that vaccine avoidance is a critical public health issue in the U.S. and Europe. Our results show how travel from regions elsewhere compounds this risk,” said the study’s lead author, UT Austin’s Sahotra Sarkar, in a statement. Sarkar also warned that, “for the first time since the 1980s, we may expect infant deaths from measles in the U.S.”
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