The 21-year-old has analyzed whole seasons worth of data — “Millions and millions of plays,” he said — to build an AI-driven model that maps team’s faceoff performances to goal-scoring outcomes.
that includes passing and transition statistics, as well as zone entries and exits. Berkery and his team have developed their project at a time when there are still a lot of unexplored analytical corners of the sport, Sznajder said.“There’s a lot of details to the game … exploring all the different game situations there are, some of the nuance gets lost in the general picture,” Sznajder said. “What a lot of what people want to do is add a systems element to analytics.
“Our kind of rule of thumb is that if you can win six more faceoffs per game, you can add about 15 goals in production for free to your team’s bottom line. Six more faceoffs is kind of like a middle six forward,” Berkery said. “And with that significant impact on the table, we don’t see teams using faceoffs as a market inefficiency, to the extent that our models say it exists.”“I think this is a new frontier,” he continued.
As a teenager, Berkery published a book about finding the right career path and interviewed dozens of professionals from different industries. As a high-schooler, he also worked up the courage to ask the University of Maryland softball team if he could conduct a run expectancy project for a full season. He collaborated with coaches and players to execute his idea.By the end of the season, he nervously made a presentation to the entire team.
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