ANC will have to form a coalition with one or more parties to reach a majority in parliament.
For the first time since 1994, the ruling party, the African National Congress , will not have an outright majority in the National Assembly. With a projected 160 seats in Parliament after the 2024 national and provincial elections, the ANC looks set to lose 70 of the seats they received after the 2019 elections .
This means that the ruling party will have to form a coalition with one or more parties in order to reach a majority in parliament.What if the ANC goes into a coalition with the Democratic Alliance ? With the DA adding their 87 seats, this coalition would control 247 seats in parliament, well over the 200 seats threshold needed to reach a majority, but this does not give the coalition a 2/3 majority needed to change the constitution.It is possible for the ANC to go into a coalition with the newly formed , uMkhonto Wesizwe which controls 57 seats.
It would form a coalition with 217 seats in the national assembly, which forms an outright majority in the 400-seat parliament, but even united, this will not be enough for a 2/3 majority.The ANC’s 160 seats need just 40 seats to form an outright majority in the national assembly . The Economic Freedom Fighters controls 39 seats, just one seat short of making a ANC+EFF coalition complete.
But, if the ANC added the Inkatha Freedom Party and its 17 seats to the coalition, this would allow the ANC+EFF+IFP coalition to control 216 seats in the 400-seat national assembly.
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