The Rude Inflation Wake up Call: Markets, oil, gold and forex

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The Rude Inflation Wake up Call: Markets, oil, gold and forex
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The Rude Inflation Wake up Call: US CPI was a nightmare by steveinnes123 inflation cpi usa

Just education services were negative at -0.1%. The Fed's policy is influencing financial conditions- the housing market is slowing in terms of mortgages written and sales volume dropping, but that is not yet hitting inflation data where the housing component was still up 0.8%. needs to see the non-energy sectors of the economy slowing - i.e., those segments it "should" be able to influence.

The immediate reaction in markets to the hot CPI print was to worry the Fed would be forced into a more aggressive rate path that would end up hitting growth much harder. A string of central banks beating market rate hike expectations last week fostered concern around a 'hard landing' and has weighed on risk, with equities tanking and the USD aggressively bid in tandem. Hence the safe-haven USD was again considered the cleanest dirty shirt in the laundry basket, especially after US front-end rates went through yet another "horrific for risk" Fed hike repricing. The next three meetings are now pricing 54.6bp, 59.

In summary, Fed tightening expectations hit fresh highs. Clouds are forming again on the China Covid reopening horizon. The market remains sensitive to headlines and vulnerable to positioning imbalances as investors' willingness to buy the dip remains low, and liquidity remains challenging. The approach of the peak US driving season is keeping the focus on tight global oil and product markets, and Brent remains near the top of the recent range despite the concerns about China and recession. Indeed,The precious metal saw some volatility following the US CPI print.

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