Boris Johnson shouldn't be complacent. Frontrunners have failed to take the crown in seven of the last eight Tory leadership races
Church of England is the Tory Party at prayer, garden parties are where it lets its hair down. Several dozen members pootle about the grounds of a country manor in the village of Ide Hill, in Kent, nibbling salmon canapés and admiring the moat. “Have you been to see my fruit cage?” the owner asks a guest. Others buy tickets for the raffle, hoping to nab biscuits from the Chelsea flower show or a box of after-dinner mints donated by theirThe mood, however, is not.
They are hardly modernisers. More than half support the death penalty and 84% believe schools should teach children to obey authority. They are keen on old-fashioned pastimes, too. One Tory association is advertising its 40th annual raspberry-and-wine evening. Another promises a stall at an upcoming leek show, “as always”.
For now, they care about Brexit above all else. In one poll, three-quarters of Tory members ranked it the most important issue facing the country, compared with three-fifths of voters. Their views on thePolls suggest that a plurality of members would back Boris Johnson, who promises to leave thein October with or without a deal, if he makes it to the final run-off. At the garden party, most have strong views about Mr Johnson: half think he could be the party’s saviour; the rest, a disaster.
But Mr Johnson should not be complacent. The frontrunner has failed to take the crown in seven of the past eight leadership races. David Cameron beat David Davis after giving an impassioned conference speech without notes. Televised hustings will give Mr Johnson’s lesser-known rivals a chance to demonstrate any election-winning credentials.
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