The data shows that contrary to what pundits claim, Bernie Sanders is the most electable candidate against Donald Trump
The margins of error on state polling are fairly high, as is evident in the major swings between the last four Wisconsin polls. But you can see a picture taking shape, and it’s not the one that Buttigieg and Klobuchar are pushing. There’s no way to look at polling and conclude that Buttigieg, Warren or Klobuchar have an electability argument to make.
The only state in which Sanders has a clear disadvantage is Florida, with its second-highest median age in the nation and highest percentage of senior citizens. Arizona doesn’t have any recent polling data, and I’d be surprised if Biden still holds an advantage there.Not much head-to-head polling has been done since Bloomberg spent $300 million inserting himself into the race. But that war chest is the biggest argument for his electability, along with his apparent advantage in Florida.
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