The Buttigieg bump is fading—but he could surge again. Via FiveThirtyEight:
, which spiked the day of the event and continued to skyrocket through the end of the month.
And it wasn’t just Buttigieg’s fundraising numbers that took off: The share of Democrats who knew enough about him to form an opinion of him — found by adding together the share who said they had a favorable opinion and the share who said they had an unfavorable opinion — has also risen precipitously. At the start of February, around 20 percent of Democrats had an opinion of Buttigieg, but by the beginning of May, that figure was above 50 percent.
Now, Buttigieg isn’t alone in this regard. Most candidates have experienced at least some uptick since January in the number of voters who have an opinion about them, unless they were already familiar to almost all voters . For example, Sen.her presidential bid on Jan. 21, and her average familiarity among voters rose from around 50 percent in early January to almost 70 percent in late February.
This represents a pretty dramatic rise, but Buttigieg isn’t alone in his polling surge. Harris and Sen.
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