Give Noles and closer Craig Kimbrel a break, then hope for the best with Schwarbs and the rest of the 'pen.
is giving the team a chance to win only about half the time, and the bullpen’s cornerstones, closer Craig Kimbrel and setup men Jose Alvarado and Serathony Domínguez, are either aged or injured. They’re not just leaking oil, they’re burning it.
Over the next 2½ weeks the performances of Schwarber, Nola, and the back end of the bullpen likely will predict whether the Phillies return to the World Series.In 2021, Nola gave the Phillies a reasonable chance to win in 22 of 32 starts. In 2022, He went 22-for-32. Kimbrel’s loss of control cost him the closer’s job with the Dodgers late in 2022. Since the start of August, in his last 12 outings, Kimbrel is 1-3, has blown two of six save chances, and often not only seems unable to hit the presented target, but has trouble coming within 6 inches of it.
The problem is, on this team, Schwarber apparently can only hit leadoff. Turner is the more logical leadoff hitter, but since moving back to the leadoff spot June 2 his average is .210 and his OPS is .866 in 79 games, in which the team is 49-30. In his 56 games before that, Schwarber’s average was .160 and his OPS was .699, and the Phillies were 25-31.
Schwarber went 1-for-20 to start the 2022 playoffs, and the Phillies won five of those six games. Of course, in two of those wins Nola pitched a combined 12⅔ innings and gave up one run.
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