TCU hosts Texas Tech as -6.5 favorites for homecoming weekend. What can those looking to bet this Big 12 rivalry game expect? Plus, TCU vs. Texas Tech odds and betting prediction.
for homecoming weekend. The visitors lost their last game off a bye, falling to Baylor, 59-35. TCU climbed from a -5.5 favorite at open to -6.5 by Friday afternoon. The over/under sits at a lofty 66.5 points.TCU has an implied win probability of 67.1%
A 5-2 record, including 3-1 in league play, is an impressive resume. Tech notched wins over Arizona State and Cincinnati to close out September. But as nice as those Big 12 wins were, the Red Raiders have a number of glaring flaws. The first was immediate straight out of the gate: defensively, Texas Tech is incredibly inconsistent.
This team allows points and yards to teams in chunks. Even in a 30-22 win over Arizona State, the Sun Devils out-gained the Red Raiders on a per-play basis . Arizona averaged nearly half a first down every snap despite scoring 22. The only team to be thoroughly outplayed by Tech was UNT, who piled up 350 yards, most of which was when the game was firmly away.
So while "fraudulent" might be a bit extreme here, Tech is at the very least extremely flawed. Against a team that plays with pace in TCU, and especially one that attacks frequently through the air, it would be surprising to see a lockdown defensive performance. And with top-10 Iowa State and everpresent Colorado on tap, this could be a lookahead spot for Tech, despite it being a rivalry game.
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