An overview of what's going on in the tropics....
REMEMBER WHEN A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE IS APPROACHING: Taping windows is *not* recommended & will not keep glass from breaking. Instead close curtains & blinds.
Realize the forecast cone is the average forecast error over a given time - out to 5 days - & *does not* indicate the width of the storm &/or where damage that might occur. *** LOCAL IMPACTS FROM THE TROPICS: None. ** Potential development over the Caribbean & SW Atlantic- ‘94-L’ - was upgraded to tropical storm “Tammy” late last Wed. & to a hurricane last Fri. morning & was finally deemed post-tropical early Thu.... then back to a tropical storm Fri. morning.
Tammy will continue to languish over the Central Atlantic well north of the Caribbean & east of Bermuda while drifting east/southeast. Gradual weakening is expected.The Caribbean is quiet for the moment but several global forecast models indicate low pressure developing over the weekend into next week. It’s possible this will become a tropical system over water that is still very warm to great depths. This is a typical late season “hot spot” & will need to be closely monitored.
The upper oceanic heat content across the SW Atlantic, Gulf & Caribbean:Averages below based on climatology for the Atlantic Basin for October:Saharan dust spreads west each year from Africa by the prevailing winds . Dry air - yellow/orange/red/pink. Widespread dust is indicative of dry air that can impede the development of tropical cyclones.
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