Time to Try Again to End Sudan's War CrisisGroup: Sudan
of killing thousands of civilians and uprooting tens of thousands more from their homes , in brutality reminiscent of previous atrocities in the stricken western region. Yet the alternative to a negotiated end to fighting is more war, and more suffering, for Sudanese and a wider state collapse that could engulf the Horn of Africa and the Sahel.Sudan's war was decades in the making.
Khartoum is destroyed, and most Sudanese with the means to flee have done so. Many have nothing to come home to. Unless there is a deal to reconsolidate state power, these conflicts will likely continue to spiral. If the Sudanese army is defeated or disintegrates, the country will be without a national army and in the full control of an unprofessional, violent paramilitary force with a pronounced ethnic cast. Moreover, the army may break apart, with sections of it fighting on. It is unclear in what form the Sudanese state would survive in such circumstances.
On the army side, although some leaders have begun signalling openness to talks, dynamics are difficult to parse. A major question is whether army negotiators will sue for peace to save Burhan and other colleagues at Khartoum headquarters or risk their eventual capture or killing at the RSF's hands so as to continue the military struggle.
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