Saudi Arabia and the UAE have been at the forefront of thwarting popular sentiment throughout the Arab world - is this repeating itself in Sudan? Opinion | GiorgioCafiero
The military-led coup that ended Omar Hassan al-Bashir’s 30-year presidency on April 11 marks the beginning of a new chapter in the book on Sudan’s modern history. Although how events will unfold in Khartoum in the weeks and months ahead is nearly impossible to predict, it is inevitable that other governments in the Middle East and North Africa , which have concerns about Sudan’s fragile political transition, will interfere to advance their national interests.
The leadership in these three Arab capitals fear that such uprisings in Sudan—as well as in Algeria and other Arab countries—could bring the Arab Spring back to life and jolt the region much like the revolutions of 2011 did. With Sudanese citizens taking to the streets beginning in December to protest food prices, poor governance, a lack of economic mobility, unemployment, cash shortages, and corruption, most monarchs in the Gulf naturally worry about such winds of political activism.
The billions that the Saudis and Emiratis have provided Egypt’s post-2013 government, their sponsorship of General Khalifa Haftar’s military campaigns in Libya, and both Gulf states’ interference in Tunisia’s post-revolution environment in favor of reactionary elements underscored how Riyadh and Abu Dhabi have “Within this context, it was difficult for many observers to see the support which Saudi Arabia and the UAE expressed for Sudan’s junta earlier this month without thinking of Riyadh and...
Riyadh and Abu Dhabi will seek to use their leverage over Sudan to ensure that Khartoum remains committed to the war in Yemen, where hundreds of Sudanese forces have died in the ranks of the Saudi-led coalition fighting Iran-sponsored Houthis. Given how much the growth of Sudanese-Turkish relations has irked the leadership in Abu Dhabi, the Emiratis may try to play their cards to pressure Sudan into coming closer to the Saudi/UAE-led bloc and placing some distance between Khartoum and the Turkey-Qatar alliance.
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