Speculation the RBA may pause interest rate rises after two US banks collapse

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Speculation the RBA may pause interest rate rises after two US banks collapse
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Australians could see a pause in interest rate rises due to banking collapses in the US.

The closure of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank has spooked central banks and intensified fears of a recession.

Traders now expect the RBA to pause its rate hikes next month and have factored in a higher likelihood of a rate cut in the coming months.

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Employment numbers ‘most important’ factor in RBA’s next moveEmployment numbers ‘most important’ factor in RBA’s next moveAustralia’s employment figures to be released on Thursday will be the “most important” factor of the RBA’s decision in April, says Independent Economist Warren Hogan. His comments come as Goldman Sachs forecasts the US Federal Reserve will pause its rate hikes next week following the SVB collapse. “They’ll be keeping an eye on what’s happening in markets overseas but in the end – the employment numbers are most important,” Mr Hogan told Sky News host Ross Greenwood. He said the market’s expectation of Thursday’s employment figures is an increase of 50,000 jobs. “So unless the situation overseas deteriorates, the RBA’s decision in April will largely be the same as it was last week,” Mr Hogan said. “And that’s whether or not they think they need to get to 3.85 before a pause – or whether or not some softer data here plus these new developments in the US mean that they pause from now.”
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