Soccer-Saudi Arabia win is statistically biggest World Cup shock, say Gracenote

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Soccer-Saudi Arabia win is statistically biggest World Cup shock, say Gracenote
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AL RAYYAN, Qatar (Reuters) - Saudi Arabia's 2-1 victory over Argentina on Tuesday is rated the biggest shock in World Cup history by data company Nielsen Gracenote, moving ahead of the previous biggest upset, the United States' win over England in 1950.

Using its proprietary ranking system and a complex formula that factors in team strength, location and history, Gracenote said that 51st-ranked Saudi's chance of beating an Argentine side unbeaten in 36 internationals was 8.7%.

Both of those went on to reach the quarter-finals as an indicator that they were better teams than thought at the time.Ranked 51st in the world, Saudi Arabia were facing a team hoping to match the international record for unbeaten games - 37. Things appeared to be going to form when Lionel Messi put Argentina ahead with a 10th-minute penalty but goals by Saleh Al-Shehri and Salem Al-Dawsari early in the second half secured the stunning upset.

A Czech team who had reached the 2004 European Championship final were expected to go deep in the World Cup and opened with a 3-0 demolition of the United States, while Ghana, making their World Cup debut, had already lost to Italy. In front of almost 200,000 fans, Brazil were leading midway through the second half but Uruguay scored twice in 13 minutes through Pepe Schiaffino and Alcides Ghiggia to secure the trophy for the second time in a game that remains famous in both nations' history.Defending champions Germany had already lost to Mexico but it was still a massive shock to see them beaten by South Korea, who needed a two-goal victory to have any chance of progressing.

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