Ukrainian troops have recently liberated two key settlements south of Bakhmut, which could be a sign that Russia's forces in the region are degrading.
Ukraine has made some key advances near Bakhmut in the past week, including reclaiming the villages of Klishchiivka and Andriivka south of the city. Kyiv launched its counteroffensive to recapture Russian-occupied land over three months ago, and while the campaign is moving more slowly than expected, there are signs that Ukraine is starting to wear Russia down along the front lines.
The ISW noted in its latest assessment of the war in Ukraine that the fight for Klishchiivka and Andrivvkain the area,"and the Ukrainian capture of two settlements defending a key Russian [ground line of communication] supporting Bakhmut indicates that these forces will likely struggle to replenish their combat strength and defend against any further Ukrainian offensive activity south of Bakhmut.
A Ukrainian tank crew member looks out from a gun turret during a military exercise on June 27, 2023, in Donetsk Oblast. Ukraine's recent advances around Bakhmut may be a sign that Russia's troops stationed in the region are becoming"battle-weary," according to the Institute for the Study of War.
Ukrainian military spokesperson Illia Yevlash claimed on Sunday that Kyiv's liberation of Klishchiivka would allow Ukraine to control Russia's ground lines of communication that are currently supplying Russian forces grouped around the Bakhmut area.
The ISW added, however, that there aren't immediate signs that Ukraine's success"will portend a higher rate of Ukrainian advance south of Bakhmut," and noted that Russia's defense positions west of the T0513—a highway that runs through Bakhmut—could"likely continue to present challenges for Ukrainian forces in the area."
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