Russian forces have suffered numerous losses and face low morale, but Western observers warn against assuming Moscow’s war efforts will relent.
Russian soldiers short on morale and weapons have refused orders, sabotaged their own equipment and shot down one of their own aircraft, Britain’s spy chief said Thursday, painting a picture of chaos on Russia’s front lines as the war in Ukraine drags into its second month.
Putin has attempted to stop news of the setbacks from reaching Russians, but Fleming said his efforts have failed to quell the growing global support for Ukraine, whose president, Volodymyr Zelensky, has operated an “extremely effective” information campaign.to warn ofThe West’s success in anticipating Russia’s strategy so far has buoyed the credibility of its intelligence, said Australian National University’s John Blaxland, who specializes in international security and intelligence.
But other observers have cautioned against dismissing the strength of the Russian military, warning that the Kremlin has shown little sign of backing down from its war efforts. “We are now running into the risky business of simply underestimating the quality and capacity of the Russian force,” said Alexey Muraviev, a national security expert at Australia’s Curtin University.
Although Muraviev said he does not question the veracity of the British spy chief’s claims, he argued that it is critical to distinguish between Russia’s own service members and the Russian-backed separatist troops in Ukraine’s eastern Donbas region. The latter, who are Ukrainians recruited to fight on Russia’s side, are more likely to suffer from the kind of breakdown outlined in Fleming’s speech, Muraviev added.
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