A generic Republican candidate enjoys a five-point lead over a generic Democrat, a slight three-point dip after the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade, in the latest Rasmussen Reports poll released Friday.
the right to abortion is not included in the Constitution, returning the issue of abortion laws and regulations to state legislatures.Rasmussen has previously noted that in June 2018 —the Democrats took the House for the first time in eight years — they only had a four-point advantage on the generic congressional ballot.
Additionally, June 2018 was slightly up from May 2018, at which time the Democrats only had a one-point advantage on the generic congressional ballot. That June, the Democrats held a four-point advantage of 45 percent to 41 percent. Plus, as the 2018 November midterm election neared, the margins between the Democrats and Republicans cameIn this poll, the Republican Party has a heavy advantage with independents over the Democrats. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, 44 percent said they would vote for the GOP candidate, while only 29 percent said they would vote for the Democrat candidate.
Additionally, 23 percent of black voters and 42 percent of other minority groups said they would vote for the Republican candidate if the election were held today. The percentage of black voters who said they would vote for Republicans is also upFor Democrats, 64 percent of black voters and 41 percent of other minority groups said they would vote for them. Compared to last week, Democrats have lost four percent of black voters.
Furthermore, there is a wide spread in voter intensity between the parties, with 89 percent of Republican voters saying they would vote for their own party’s congressional candidate and only 85 percent of Democrats saying the same thing.was conducted from June 26 to 30 and questioned 2,500 likely U.S. voters. The survey had a two percent margin of error and a 95 percent confidence level.
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