Cam Akers has returned from the wilderness as the Rams' clear RB1 but has a tough matchup on TNF against a revitalized Raiders defense. CoversJLo’s NFL betting picks break down Akers' rushing total for Las Vegas vs. Los Angeles.
The Over/Under total for Thursday Night Football hit the board at 43 points and has climbed to 44.5 points as of Tuesday evening.
Las Vegas has put up 27 and 37 points in regulation the past two weeks and sits ninth in EPA per play during their three-game run. The Raiders’ defense has been much more dangerous in terms of pass pressure and takeaways but is still ranked 31st in defense DVOA at Football Outsiders. The Rams’ offense has been declawed, at least through the air, since losing Stafford and Kupp. However, Wofford showed flashes of brilliance against a Seahawks’ suspect stop unit last weekend and the run game is getting a massive uptick in action, with L.A. going from one of the lightest rushing attacks to a playbook handing off more than 50% of snaps over the last three contests.
As for the Raiders’ offense, it’s leaning into the ground and pound with RB Josh Jacobs. The bruising running back has anchored a methodical Las Vegas playbook that is chewing up clock and controlling possession during the winning streak. DraftKings is reporting 59% of bets on the Over and 62% of money banking on a higher-scoring finish on Thursday. Las Vegas owns a 6-6 O/U mark this season while L.A. is 5-7 O/U entering Week 14.Adams is pretty much unstoppable and will find the end zone for the fifth game in six weeks on Thursday, which will help Las Vegas pad a lead and force L.A. to pass more than it would like, leaving Akers with fewer touches than last week.
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