Does an increase in fentanyl seizures signal that more drugs are flowing into the U.S. or that law enforcement is stopping more of it from coming in? Experts say it’s impossible to know for sure, but some theories can be drawn.
This photo provided by the U.S. Attorneys Office for Utah and introduced as evidence in a 2019 trial shows fentanyl-laced fake oxycodone pills collected during an investigation. There isn’t enough reliable data on the consumption and trafficking of illegal drugs to make the sweeping conclusions that elected officials often make, experts say.
Cartels send more drugs to the United States when they know"a fair amount will be seized," said Jonathan Caulkins, a drug policy researcher at Carnegie Mellon University. Even additional interdiction might not noticeably reduce the amount of fentanyl entering the U.S. Bier said because fentanyl is cheap to produce, drug manufacturers can increase production or select a more potent synthetic opioid to continue meeting demand.
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