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with several capable starters like Jose Urquidy, Luis Garcia, and Hunter Brown available in relief.
Houston's team ERA of 2.80 in the regular season was second only to the Dodgers, and the bullpen ERA was best in the bigs. Closer Ryan Pressly dealt with some injury issues in the season, but then Hector Neris, Rafael Montero, Bryan Abreu, and others were there to pick up the pieces. And lefty Will Smith, who was left off the ALCS roster, could be added ahead of Friday's Game 1. As much as I like the underdog story, I think the Phillies will meet their match in the Fall Classic.
The Phillies will try to steal a game in Houston to open the series by likely pitching both Nola and Wheeler, but it's not like they give Philadelphia an advantage. Verlander will counter in Game 1 and Valdez was one of the most reliable arms in baseball during the regular season. And as mentioned, getting to Houston's elite bullpen doesn't really swing this in Philly's favor, either.
While it would also be pretty stunning to watch the Astros roll through the postseason without dropping a single game, calling for another sweep is an extremely tall order, especially when the Phillies are very much built for playoff baseball. The bullpen is less shaky with the option to use starters in relief, and Philly has looked especially strong at home .
But expecting the Astros' well-oiled machine to crumble more than once is foolish. Houston is favored at -185 on the moneyline to win the series regardless of how many games are played, but I'm taking the Astros to win in five games at +500. However, if you are feeling bold, an Astros sweep is available at +850.
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