Paul Gillespie: Israel-Hamas war offers no easy answers, only excruciatingly difficult questions

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Paul Gillespie: Israel-Hamas war offers no easy answers, only excruciatingly difficult questions
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Normalisation implies reconciliation after conflict. That will now be impossible in the form identified is the 2020 Abraham accords between Israel, the UAE and Bahrain

Normalisation implies reconciliation after conflict. But that will now be impossible in the form identified in the 2020 Abraham accords between Israel, the UAE and BahrainNormalisation is the term coined to describe growing political, diplomatic and economic relations between Israel and Arab or Muslim majority states..

Normalisation helps explain Israeli ill-preparedness for the October 7th attacks. According to Netanyahu’s agenda-setting, significant parts of the Arab world were willing to recognise and interact with Israel in their mutual interest. In recent weeks he displayed maps of a “New Middle East” without Palestinian representation at the United Nations and encouraged President Biden’s interest in its potential.

Most of the Arab autocracies pursuing normalisation did so for economic and political advantage to insulate their regimes against Muslim or secular movements. Sudan wanted release from US terrorist classification, while the Moroccans were gratified by US support of their claim to the Spanish Sahara. The Arab regimes are, in turn, strongly reminded of the civil uprisings associated with the 2011-2012 wave of protests across the region misnamed the Arab Spring. Any suggestion that relations with Israel can be developed without addressing the Palestinian question directly will put a strain on their stability.

Aghast at Hamas' killing spree and the slow response by the military, Israelis are now arming themselves in record numbers - with government support.

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