Ahead of Tuesday morning’s announcement, here are Vulture’s predictions in eight major Oscar categories
Will all five of these contenders make it in? Photo-Illustration: Vulture; Photos by Warner Bros, Walt Disney Studios, Focus Features and Netflix Like everyone else, the Oscars hoped things would be back to normal by now. When Venice and Telluride went off without a hitch, it seemed as if the awards industry might be able to pretend it was 2019 all over again with in-person schmoozing, packed premieres, and a Best Picture field full of theatrical hits. That was not to be.
Still, we can be confident at least some people are invested in this year’s race: According to the Academy, more members voted in this year’s nominations than ever before with ballots coming in from 82 countries. Ahead of Tuesday morning’s announcement, here are Vulture’s predictions in eight major categories.
If you’re counting, that’s two Netflix movies, two Apple TV+ projects, one from Amazon, and two Warner Bros. titles that debuted day and date on HBO Max — leaving only Belfast, Licorice Pizza, and West Side Story holding the line for pure theatrical releases. We truly are living in a new world.Ryûsuke Hamaguchi, Drive My CarThe DGA’s picks almost never overlap entirely with the Oscars’ five, but year after year, pundits convince themselves that this time, it’ll happen.
Who joins them? Javier Bardem of Being the Ricardos has SAG on his side, and I’m wary of going against an actor playing a famous showbiz figure from the 20th century. However, DiCaprio’s BAFTA nod has me leaning Leo. The Brits use a multistep jury process that’s meant to spotlight underappreciated performers; the fact that the Hollywood princeling got in anyway suggests he was near the top of the vote tallies.
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