'In terms of military spending, the United States and NATO are overwhelmingly superior to Russia.'
suggest that Russia has already lost around a quarter of its effective fighting strength in Ukraine. There is therefore no comparison between the threat posed by Russian ground forces to NATO today with the days when huge Soviet tank armies stood on the Elbe and the Danube.
As to the European NATO members' will to fight, this is extremely hard to predict in advance, since it is influenced by so many different factors. Many believe that only the British and French militaries are actually willing to fight—and it must be said that the singularly unimpressive performance of most NATO militaries in Afghanistan and the Balkans has done much to support this belief.
Poland would undoubtedly also come to the aid of the Baltic States if they were attacked. The Baltic—even after the accession of Sweden and Finland—is NATO's most vulnerable point. Even given Russia's commitments in Ukraine, Russia could concentrate very superior forces against the Balts, while, for geographical reasons, NATO reinforcement would be challenging. In a battle on the frontiers, the Balts would be overwhelmed.
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