The president's approval rating is up to 44%, but 7-in-10 people say the country is going in the wrong direction, and young and Black voters are among the least likely to vote this fall.
Whatever the results, the groundwork is already being laid for outcomes to be contested. The Trump factor in these elections has been clear with candidates mimicking the former president's bombastic style and spreading his lie about the 2020 presidential election being stolen. That is, of course, false. Biden won, and that's been proven repeatedly in and out of court.
In July, 28% of independents approved. But since then, there's been something of a thaw — 39% approve, fewer are disapproving and more independents have moved into the undecided category. That's the highest"strongly approve" score for Biden since July 2021, a month before the Afghanistan withdrawal when Biden saw his ratings decline.More than 8 in 10 registered voters who responded to the survey said they are"definitely voting" this fall — 82% of Democrats said so, as did 88% of Republicans and 80% of independents.
The least likely to say so were younger voters, people making less than $50,000 a year; Black voters; parents with children under 18; those who haven't graduated college, especially white women without degrees; and those who live in small towns.When voters were asked who they would vote for in their congressional district, a Democrat or Republican, if the election were held today, the parties are in a statistical tie. Democrats have a narrow 46%-to-44% edge in the survey.
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