The Iowa caucuses are never simple. New rules that will be implemented for the Feb. 3 contest could give presidential candidates an unprecedented opportunity to spin the results. In previous years, the Iowa Democratic Party reported just one number: the number of state delegates won by each candidate
DES MOINES, Iowa — The Iowa caucuses are never simple. Voters spend hours in high school gymnasiums or public libraries, starting their night by declaring support for their preferred presidential candidate. That's followed by a feverish round of lobbying in which supporters of eliminated candidates are pressed to make a new pick by the evening's end.New rules that will be implemented for the Feb.
The Iowa caucuses are supposed to set the tone for the contests that follow, ultimately helping winnow the field. If multiple candidates can claim success in Iowa, it could prolong the fight for the Democratic nomination. The Associated Press said Thursday it will base its race call of the winner on state delegate equivalents because delegates are the metric used to decide the eventual winner of the nomination. Iowa and national Democratic Party figures emphasize this is the number to watch.
There’s a chance a candidate might win the most support during the first vote but lose out on the final alignment — and ultimately the delegate count — after supporters for candidates who are not viable realign after the first round of counting. This is a scenario that could play out for a candidate like Sanders or former Vice President Joe Biden, both of whom are expected to be viable in the largest number of precincts statewide.
Jesse Harris, Biden’s senior Iowa adviser, said the campaign sees all three metrics — the first and second alignments as well as the delegate outcome — as important. The candidate’s support on the first alignment, he said, will offer a reflection of the campaign’s strong operation and Biden’s broad appeal, while the realignment number will reflect the team’s ability to persuade voters to support Biden and his strength as a unifying candidate.
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