Epidemiologists say the explosion of coronavirus cases this summer should put to rest the mistaken theory that the virus would go away in the summer.
Any hopes that summer’s high temperatures might slow the spread of the coronavirus were smashed in June and July by skyrocketing cases across the country, especially in some of the warmest states.
Clearing up conflicting messages about how the virus spreads could help bring it under control, said Jamie Slaughter-Acey, an assistant professor in the division of epidemiology and community health at the University of Minnesota. Story continuesMarshall Shepherd, director of the atmospheric science program at the University of Georgia, calls it"wishcasting."
After studying the potential impacts of climate on the spread of COVID-19 earlier in the year, Rachel Baker, a post-doctoral researcher at Princeton University, and a team of colleagues concluded at some point in the future the virus could become seasonal like the flu. However, the paper they published made it clear that in this early stage, a lack of immunity among the population would be the fundamental driver.
The department’s studies showed “summer-like conditions are going to create an environment where the transmission can be decreased,” Bryan said at the time. However, he also said the findings shouldn’t take away from the CDC’s guidance or the need for people to take other actions and steps to protect themselves.Homeland Security scientists have continued to study the virus.
Communicating science in real timeHeat and sunlight don’t impact the virus inside the human body, Hough said. They haven't studied its survival on skin and many other unknowns remain. It's not known exactly how much virus a sick person puts into the air when they cough, he said, or how much of that virus it takes to make someone sick.
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