Middle East growth to recover in 2024 but structural issues to weigh

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Middle East growth to recover in 2024 but structural issues to weigh
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Middle East growth to recover in 2024 but structural issues to weigh - IMF

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A woman runs past the Burj Khalifa and the downtown skyline in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, June 13, 2021. Picture taken June 13, 2021. REUTERS/Christopher PikeDUBAI - Economic growth in the Middle East and North Africa region is expected to accelerate in 2024 after a slowdown this year but structural challenges will weigh in the medium term, the International Monetary Fund said on Thursday.

The forecasts were made before conflict broke out between Israel and Palestinian Islamist group Hamas on Oct. 7."However, public sector debt remains elevated in several countries, and medium-term growth is forecast to remain subdued," the IMF said."Although inflation is broadly easing, it remains elevated in some economies, with high food prices exacerbating food insecurity."

MENA inflation is projected to peak at 17.5% on average this year, easing to 15% in 2024, although the figure varies significantly across countries. Economic growth in the Caucasus and Central Asia is projected at 4.6% this year, down from 4.8% last year, moderating slightly to 4.2% in 2024, on gradual normalisation of migration, trade, and financial flows from Russia, the IMF said.

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