MLB odds, predictions, and picks for New York Mets at Atlanta Braves on August 22. MLB free pick for Mets-Braves.
Braves F5 -0.5 It's a straightforward same-game parlay for us, given that we expect Atlanta to have a strong night at the plate. We're taking the Braves' first-inning moneyline and pairing it with two other correlated plays at a reasonable price.
The last leg of this is self-explanatory, but it bumped things up a decent amount, and we'll take it. We're rolling the Braves to continue its first-inning success and lead after five innings. We've yet to mentionhere, but his matchup tonight is decent. Elder has been a ground ball-reliant pitcher most of the season, and the Mets have hit into ground balls at an above-average clip on the year.
Sure, Elder has had some recent struggles, but he looked much better in his most recent start, and the matchup tonight for him is favorable. The Mets are eighth in groundball rate, and Elder's success is predicated on inducing ground balls. Conversely, it's the best offense in baseball against a pitcher at the bottom of the barrel in most any metric related to hitting. Maybe it seems too simple, but I'd be inclined to consider laying this number — even at a hefty price.
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