The latest power availability statistics show that South Africa’s power situation is a critical balancing act.
The sudden escalation to stage 6 load shedding last week demonstrated how little room power utility Eskom has to manoeuvre when things don’t go its way.
After a massively positive trend on load shedding outages in June, just one week of higher stages of load shedding was enough to push a reversal in the trend data. PAR represents the time consumers have utility power available after deducting the load shedding outage times, expressed as a percentage. At 100%, households have full access to grid power. Every 7% below that point represents a full stage of load shedding where power is taken away.
“The small weekly PAR deteriorations observed over the previous four weeks culminated in a sudden correction as power demand returned to the normal winter trend,” Jordaan said.The razor-thin buffer of reserve capacity maintained by the utility over the past few weeks proved inadequate“Over the past year, a turn of 5 points usually signals a continued downward trend towards the previous low.
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