Rui Hachimura should be called upon again in Game 5 as the Lakers look to finish off the Warriors. CoversJLo sees good value in his depressed numbers tonight.
: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting siteAfter dropping both games in Los Angeles, including a 104-101 loss in Game 4, the Warriors opened as 5.5-point home chalk for Game 5 — a point higher than the closing spread for Game 1, but 1.5 points short of the closing line for Game 2, which the Dubs won easily, 127-100.
Given just how drum-tight postseason spreads are, has any value sailed on the home side now that this line has climbed two points? There definitely has been a threshold in the NBA playoffs when it comes to larger point spreads. Favorites of -5.5 or less are 21-11-1 ATS while chalk of -6 or more own a 15-13 ATS count heading into Wednesday’s action.
The Lakers’ results have also fluctuated based on venue, as their lockdown defense has softened away from La-La Land. Los Angeles, which ranked among the top defensive teams in the NBA after swapping out the bulk of the roster in mid-February, sees its postseason defensive rating balloon from a stingy 96.9 at home to 114.0 on the road.
Tonight’s total hit the board between 226 and 226.5 and has stayed still for the most part, with 226 as the market consensus on Wednesday morning.
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