The Canadian leader is at a point in which he can bow out with his reputation relatively intact – just as the New Zealand PM did
says Trudeau has come back from similar popularity deficits, pointing out that most of the prime minister’s most embarrassing public fumbles have come when the party is most popular, not when it’s struggling in the polls.“He’s still competitive and he tends to poll pretty well compared to his own party. The Liberals are identified so much with him now and so a generic replacement candidate might not actually do any better than Trudeau,” he said.
Previous resignations in Canadian political history – including that of Trudeau’s father, prime minister Pierre Trudeau – came as the party faced steep losses or infighting. “If the next election is about putting the tired old Liberal government out of its misery, then he’s going to be not a good candidate to fight. But if it’s about where the Conservatives would take the country? Then he’s in a much better position,” said Grenier, pointing out that Trudeau has a “competitive streak” and has taken a more pugilistic stance towards rival Pierre Poilievre in recent weeks.
Unlike his predecessor Stephen Harper, Trudeau is widely seen as a political leader who most enjoys spending his time on the campaign trail and meeting with voters where he can often excite large crowds. “Trudeau derives a lot of energy from the people and it feels like if he was on the campaign trail, and sensing that energy wasn’t there, he would see it, and know his time was up,” Grenier said. “But by then, it would be too late.”
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