Military has might on its side but Hamas is prepared and the humanitarian fallout could prove costly
Israel is poised to launch a ground offensive into the northern half of Gaza, an attack that, for all the country’s military superiority, is fraught with uncertainty and whose potential humanitarian consequences are grim.
Israel, too, has been planning, and if the IDF gains control of the tunnel entrances it is more likely to mine them than try to enter them. But without full control of the subterranean network where Hamas command posts are likely to be based, any military control of northern Gaza will be insecure. There is also the question of what Israel’s medium-term strategy will be if it is able to seize control of the northern half of Gaza. It would be logical to look to the south; an incursion aimed at eliminating Hamas as a controlling force only makes sense if the occupation is total. This was the reasoning, on a larger scale, behind the 20-year, US-led occupation of Afghanistan in response to the 9/11 attacks.
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