Irish Times Poll: Elimination of gap between Fine Gael and Sinn Féin the big takeaway

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Irish Times Poll: Elimination of gap between Fine Gael and Sinn Féin the big takeaway
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Simon Harris’s first personal rating in polls is a creditable 38%, the second most popular leader after Micheál Martin and ahead of Mary Lou McDonald

Simon Harris’s first personal rating in polls series is a creditable 38%, the second most popular leader after Micheál Martin and ahead of Mary Lou McDonaldThe first Irish Times/ Ipsos B&A poll since Simon Harris succeeded Leo Varadkar as Taoiseach and the Fine Gael leader brings good news for his party – for the first time in a long time.

Harris is also likely to be cheered by the fact that a continuation of the current Coalition is the most popular option of voters.Tide has turned for Government as Sinn Féin’s large lead has now evaporatedElimination of gap between Fine Gael and Sinn Féin the big takeaway from Irish Times poll Just track the numbers in The Irish Times/Ipsos B&A series: in the summer of 2022 Sinn Féin was at 36 per cent; by February of 2023 it was still at 35 per cent. Its average support over the previous 2½ years had been 35 per cent. But then the decline kicked in. Down to 31 per cent in June of last year; uptick in September to 34 before the downward trajectory resumed to 28 in February of this year. And now down a further five points to 23 per cent.

It makes an exception, of course, for the Border with Northern Ireland but sometimes that has proved tricky to explain, at least in simple terms. While seeking to reassure middle-ground voters that it would not change any of the things they like – for example, Pearse Doherty was recently reassuring clients of Davy stockbrokers that Sinn Féin would not change the essentials of Ireland’s economic model – the party may have alienated some of those voters who want to see radical changes in the way Ireland is run. Those voters have other options. And some voters are exercising them, it seems.

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