India is likely to receive monsoon rainfall between 94% to 106% of a long-term average in July, the state-run India Meteorological Department said on Friday, the most crucial month for the planting of critical crops such as rice and soybeans.
The weather office defines average, or normal, rainfall as between 96% and 104% of a 50-year average of 87 cm for the entire four-month season beginning in June. Rains between 90% to 96% are considered below average.
It said that most regions in the eastern and northeastern parts of the country are likely to receive average to below average monsoon rains. As India's summer-sown rice accounts for more than 85% of its annual production of 129.66 million tonnes, monsoon rains play a crucial role in determining the crop size.Patchy monsoon rains, however, would stunt the crop and cut yields, leading to a drawdown in state inventories that would trigger export curbs to ensure sufficient supplies for the country's 1.4 billion people.
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