From left: B.C. NDP Leader David Eby, B.C. Conservative Party Leader John Rustad, B.C. Green Party Leader Sonia Furstenau.
The significant redistribution that has added six ridings to the electoral map, and the collapse of the Opposition B.C. United party, formerly the B.C. Liberals, coupled with the rise of the upstart B.C. Conservatives as the NDP's main challenger make forecasting the B.C. election particularly tough.
"But those two main things — the boundary changes and the total upheaval on the centre-right — make this a very difficult election to predict."Affordability and the cost of living are major election topics as the three main political parties compete for votes. BC Today callers shared which party they think will best address the issue with host Michelle Eliot.
"In this election, the public polls are telling us it's going to be much tighter, at least so far," McDonald said of the popular vote. "And so, if we were single-digit margin on the popular vote provincewide — say, less than five per cent difference — then you're going to see a lot of those NDP seats that were won in 2020 fall by the wayside."
B.C. NDP Leader David Eby is pictured announcing his platform on Oct. 3. The NDP's shift to the centre on issues like the carbon tax could be fertile ground for the Greens to make headway, according to analysts. "So for example, areas like Vancouver-Little Mountain that's had a significant boundary change, you may see that being a tighter race than you would normally see. You would see Langara, even own riding of Point Grey, which has gone back and forth between the centre-right and the NDP, probably in play as well."B.C.'s three main party leaders had a chance to debate each other on Wednesday, first on radio, then in front of local business leaders.
"I thought this wasn't going to be great for the Greens," Stewart said. "However, with the NDP kind of shifting to the right … I think it really does open an opportunity for the Greens to pick up disaffected NDP voters."
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