The Hollywood Reporter's awards columnist looks back at the 21st century's prior award seasons to illustrate the sorts of performances that are sometimes brought back from the dead — and that can be upended by — the Academy
Based on the last 18 years, it's reasonable to assume that at least one — and possibly as many as four — of the 15 performances that received Globe and SAG noms this year won't go on to receive an Oscar nom. And that at least one of the many performances that received neither a Globe nor a SAG nom will go on to receive an Oscar nom.
Which of the Globe-SAG nominees are most at risk of being bounced by the Academy? Possibilities are Bale, who is competing for votes in the lead actor category against his costarDamon; and Erivo and Hanks, whose films have generated little awards heat apart from their performances. And which of the SAG-Globe snubees could be revived by the Academy and slotted in their place? The likeliest bets are De Niro, for anchoring a film that is clearly popular across the board and is receiving the aforementioned sort of relentless championing from Netflix; Alda, for giving one of the aforementioned sort of s
mallish but memorable performances in a major contender; and MacKay and/or Chapman, whose performanceswhich simply may not have been seen by enough HFPA and SAG Awards voters. The Academy, of course, could — and almost certainly will — also add one or two of the folks who got a Golden Globe nom but not a SAG Award nom, or vice-versa. The most likely candidates are Banderas, Pryce, Awkwafina, Nyong'o, Ronan, Foxx, Hopkins and Johansson (for
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