Gold Forecast: Fails to Hang on to Gains

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Gold Forecast: Fails to Hang on to Gains
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The gold markets initially rallied during the day on Tuesday but continue to see a lot of downward pressure. forex forextrade forextrading

At this point, it looks like the market is more likely than not going to break down through the bottom of the last couple of candlesticks, which is at roughly $1645. If we get through there, then it opens up an attempt to get back to the recent lows, and then eventually down to the $1600 level where I suspect there will be a certain amount of psychology attached to that level, perhaps offering another bounce.

Gold is a very fickle asset to own, and it of course has a negative correlation to not only the US dollar, but interest rates coming out of that same country. If they both continue to rise, then it almost makes it impossible for gold to have any sustainable rally. I believe that the $1680 level continues to be a major resistance barrier as well, as it previously had been a major support level. “Market memory” should continue to be found right around that area.

However, the first signs of the Federal Reserve loosening monetary policy will be like rocket fuel for this market, and gold will almost certainly be one of the best assets to own. We are nowhere near watching the Federal Reserve destroy inflation yet, so we may have a while before that happens.

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