Should you have cold feet about starting Tua Tagovailoa against the Buffalo Bills? Buffalo ranks 10th in adjusted pass defense, according to numberFire’s metrics.
In their first meeting , Tua was the QB25, because of a disappointing line of 186 passing yards and a touchdown on 18 attempts. Overall against top-12 adjusted pass defenses, Tagovailoa — in four full games — has averaged only 14.2 fantasy points on a line of 224.0 yards and 1.3 touchdowns per game. He’s still a top-10, Tier 2 play, but he’s not firmly above some other names, so don’t force him if you feel as if you can do better.
D’Andre Swift at NYJ ; Michael Carter vs. DET ; J.K. Dobbins at CLE ; Devin Singletary vs. MIA ; A.J. Dillon vs. LA ; Leonard Fournette vs. CIN ; Chuba Hubbard vs. PIT ; Dare Ogunbowale vs. KC ; Cam Akers at GB ; Kyren Williams at GB ; Jordan Mason at SEA ; Marlon Mack vs. ARI ; Kareem Hunt vs. BAL ; Rex Burkhead vs. KC ; Jaylen Warren at CAR ; James Cook vs. MIA ; Samaje Perine at TB .
Zonovan Knight and Michael Carter split snaps in Week 14. Carter out-snapped Knight 50.7% to 46.6%, but their roles were very separated. Carter, who had six targets and five carries, was the receiving back; Knight handled 17 of the carries and had two targets in an early down role. The Lions rank 25th in adjusted fantasy points per carry allowed to opposing backs and 15th on a per-target basis.
Courtland Sutton could be out this week after not practicing last week, but is projected for a half workload initially. If full, he’s a low-end Tier 2 play.In two games with Deshaun Watson at quarterback, we’ve seen a 27.1% target share for Amari Cooper, who has averaged 41.0 yards per game on his 8.0 targets. Donovan Peoples-Jones has a 23.7% target share with 79.0 yards per game with a nice 12.6-yard average depth of target. The lone touchdown from Watson has gone to tight end David Njoku.
Hunter Henry at LV ; Austin Hooper at LAC ; Logan Thomas vs. NYG ; Jelani Woods at MIN ; Robert Tonyan vs. LA ; Noah Fant vs. SF ; Juwan Johnson vs. ATL ; Foster Moreau vs. NE ; Isaiah Likely at CLE ; Cade Otton vs. CIN .
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