El Niño effects may last till early 2024 – Pagasa

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El Niño effects may last till early 2024 – Pagasa
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The Philippine weather bureau issued its first El Niño advisory on Tuesday as the WMO warned of surging temperatures across large parts of the world after the weather pattern emerged in the tropical Pacific for the first time in seven years. | krixiasINQ

El Niño is the unusual warming of the ocean surface in the central and eastern tropical Pacific, which could trigger disruptions in the local weather patterns.

These areas are mostly in the Ilocos, Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon, Calabarzon and Mimaropa regions, and Metro Manila and the Spratly Islands, all in Luzon; and the provinces of Antique, Guimaras, Iloilo, and Leyte in the Visayas.In Mindanao, the provinces of Agusan del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, and Surigao del Sur may also experience dry spells at the end of October, Solis said.

Such predictions, Solis said, are based on recent conditions in the Pacific so “uncertainty is high,” but the bureau assured that it would update the models when more relevant data come in. Higher temperatures and extreme weather events are also more likely during this period, which could escalate risk of infectious diseases, floods, and droughts.

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