Department of Health experts in epidemiologic modeling is seeing a possible increase in COVID-19 cases due to a decline in the population’s compliance with minimum public health standards.
Department of Health experts in epidemiologic modeling are seeing a possible increase in Covid-19 cases due to a decline in the population’s compliance with minimum public health standards .
“Based on the disease models, a 20 percent decrease in MPHS compliance at the national level could lead to around 34,788 active cases with over 564 of these as severe and 267 as critical in mid-May; while a 30 percent decrease in MPHS compliance might bring the cases up further to as high as 300,000 over the same time period. This figure is higher than the largest recorded number of active cases at 291,618 during the peak of the Omicron wave in January 2022.
The Health department said another model from the Australian Tuberculosis Modelling Network Team estimates that the introduction of a new variant that is two times more transmissible than Omicron may lead to a peak in ICU admissions in NCR of around 2,418 cases.