The Dodgers declined Justin Turner’s $16 million option for 2023.
Why Turner will return
Turner’s aging curve is atypical. He had 4 fWAR as a major league player by the age of 30. He’s accumulated more than 30 fWAR since. Nelson Cruz , David Ortiz and Edgar Martinez are the poster boys for late-career flourishes. Each of them did so with the benefit of full-time DHing, which wasn’t an option for Turner before 2022. Max Muncy started 80 games at third base this season, and Turner started 66.
This is the kind of thing that could give an executive pause as teams try to project how the next year or two might go for Turner. Father Time didn’t come for Turner in 2022, but Father Time is famously undefeated. If Turner’s ceiling is somewhere below peak Joe Mauer, we’ve seen how low his floor might drop. What if Turner reverts to his pre-June 28 form in 2023? A designated hitter type with a .216/.287/.
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